The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMarina JHC 37%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 23%
Davi Davino Filho 4.5%
$23,843 KL.
$23,843 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Marina JHC
37%
Renan
31%
Arthur Lira
23%
Davi Davino Filho
5%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Marina JHC 37%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 23%
Davi Davino Filho 4.5%
$23,843 KL.
$23,843 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Marina JHC
$5,008 KL.
37%
Renan
$9,235 KL.
31%
Arthur Lira
$5,669 KL.
23%
Davi Davino Filho
$1,067 KL.
5%
Dr. Wanderley
$1,398 KL.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$707 KL.
<1%
Mariedson
$759 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,843Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$23,843Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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