Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress through the remainder of 2026 form the primary barrier to impeachment by December 31. No articles of impeachment have advanced under current leadership, and Democratic priorities ahead of the November midterms have kept the issue off the floor. The 2026 elections, which favor Democratic House gains, occur too late for any new majority to organize and pass articles before the resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 98.3% against reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen crisis fracturing Republican support or a late-session coalition sufficient for a House majority vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$1,020,443 Обс.
$1,020,443 Обс.
Так
$1,020,443 Обс.
$1,020,443 Обс.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress through the remainder of 2026 form the primary barrier to impeachment by December 31. No articles of impeachment have advanced under current leadership, and Democratic priorities ahead of the November midterms have kept the issue off the floor. The 2026 elections, which favor Democratic House gains, occur too late for any new majority to organize and pass articles before the resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 98.3% against reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen crisis fracturing Republican support or a late-session coalition sufficient for a House majority vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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