Nicolás Maduro maintains dominant positioning in trader assessments due to the Supreme Tribunal of Justice's rulings classifying his absence as temporary, preserving institutional continuity under the United Socialist Party of Venezuela through the end of his disputed 2025–2031 term. Delcy Rodríguez serves as acting president following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces, yet her role remains interim amid ongoing U.S.-backed talks with opposition figures that have produced no electoral timeline. Opposition leaders including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, with Washington prioritizing stabilization and oil-sector cooperation over immediate transition. Recent developments such as the June earthquakes, amnesty measures, and cabinet shifts under Rodríguez have reinforced expectations of limited change by December 2026, limiting upside for challengers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЛідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Ніколас Мадуро 83.3%
Дельсі Родрігес 9%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 1.7%
Відсутність глави держави 1.0%
$96,039,027 Обс.
$96,039,027 Обс.
Ніколас Мадуро
83%
Дельсі Родрігес
9%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
2%
Відсутність глави держави
1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
<1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
<1%
Дінора Фігера
<1%
Еван Петтіс
<1%
Ден Кейн
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Марко Рубіо
<1%
Піт Гегсет
<1%
Френк Донован
<1%
Річард Гренелл
<1%
Ніколас Мадуро 83.3%
Дельсі Родрігес 9%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 1.7%
Відсутність глави держави 1.0%
$96,039,027 Обс.
$96,039,027 Обс.
Ніколас Мадуро
83%
Дельсі Родрігес
9%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
2%
Відсутність глави держави
1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
<1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
<1%
Дінора Фігера
<1%
Еван Петтіс
<1%
Ден Кейн
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Марко Рубіо
<1%
Піт Гегсет
<1%
Френк Донован
<1%
Річард Гренелл
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro maintains dominant positioning in trader assessments due to the Supreme Tribunal of Justice's rulings classifying his absence as temporary, preserving institutional continuity under the United Socialist Party of Venezuela through the end of his disputed 2025–2031 term. Delcy Rodríguez serves as acting president following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces, yet her role remains interim amid ongoing U.S.-backed talks with opposition figures that have produced no electoral timeline. Opposition leaders including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, with Washington prioritizing stabilization and oil-sector cooperation over immediate transition. Recent developments such as the June earthquakes, amnesty measures, and cabinet shifts under Rodríguez have reinforced expectations of limited change by December 2026, limiting upside for challengers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання