Trump's established pattern of issuing direct personal criticisms through Truth Social posts, press interactions, speeches, and public remarks continues to drive near-certain trader consensus on these date-specific markets, with yes shares frequently priced at 100 cents. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly directed such language at foreign leaders amid trade disputes and Iran policy differences, including references to Canadian and UK officials during G7-related events, as well as media figures and political opponents. Resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting strict criteria for insults, nicknames, or derogatory characterizations, excluding pure policy disagreements. Scheduled appearances, ongoing diplomatic tensions, and routine social media activity sustain the high implied probability, though isolated days without qualifying remarks have occasionally produced no outcomes. Upcoming events within resolution windows, such as summits or press briefings, remain key variables that could influence specific daily results.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$35,951 Обс.
September 3
69%
September 9
97%
September 10
94%
September 11
42%
September 12
85%
September 13
86%
September 14
87%
September 15
83%
September 16
82%
September 17
70%
September 18
89%
September 19
60%
September 20
83%
September 21
89%
September 22
69%
September 23
59%
September 24
78%
September 25
62%
September 26
86%
September 27
88%
September 28
88%
September 29
87%
September 30
70%
$35,951 Обс.
September 3
69%
September 9
97%
September 10
94%
September 11
42%
September 12
85%
September 13
86%
September 14
87%
September 15
83%
September 16
82%
September 17
70%
September 18
89%
September 19
60%
September 20
83%
September 21
89%
September 22
69%
September 23
59%
September 24
78%
September 25
62%
September 26
86%
September 27
88%
September 28
88%
September 29
87%
September 30
70%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Trump's established pattern of issuing direct personal criticisms through Truth Social posts, press interactions, speeches, and public remarks continues to drive near-certain trader consensus on these date-specific markets, with yes shares frequently priced at 100 cents. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly directed such language at foreign leaders amid trade disputes and Iran policy differences, including references to Canadian and UK officials during G7-related events, as well as media figures and political opponents. Resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting strict criteria for insults, nicknames, or derogatory characterizations, excluding pure policy disagreements. Scheduled appearances, ongoing diplomatic tensions, and routine social media activity sustain the high implied probability, though isolated days without qualifying remarks have occasionally produced no outcomes. Upcoming events within resolution windows, such as summits or press briefings, remain key variables that could influence specific daily results.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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