Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Polling aggregates project Democratic gains sufficient for a majority, granting the party agenda-setting power from January 2027 onward and roughly two years to advance articles. Democratic leaders have publicly left the option open, citing concerns over executive actions on funding allocation, court orders, and state-level disputes. Low odds for impeachment before year-end reflect the current Republican House majority and lack of bipartisan support. Trader pricing incorporates historical precedent that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such proceedings, while discounting Senate conviction prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
69% шанс
$102,071 Обс.
$102,071 Обс.
Jan 19, 2029
Заробляйте 3.25%
69% шанс
$102,071 Обс.
$102,071 Обс.
Jan 19, 2029
Заробляйте 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Polling aggregates project Democratic gains sufficient for a majority, granting the party agenda-setting power from January 2027 onward and roughly two years to advance articles. Democratic leaders have publicly left the option open, citing concerns over executive actions on funding allocation, court orders, and state-level disputes. Low odds for impeachment before year-end reflect the current Republican House majority and lack of bipartisan support. Trader pricing incorporates historical precedent that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such proceedings, while discounting Senate conviction prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$102,071Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Polling aggregates project Democratic gains sufficient for a majority, granting the party agenda-setting power from January 2027 onward and roughly two years to advance articles. Democratic leaders have publicly left the option open, citing concerns over executive actions on funding allocation, court orders, and state-level disputes. Low odds for impeachment before year-end reflect the current Republican House majority and lack of bipartisan support. Trader pricing incorporates historical precedent that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such proceedings, while discounting Senate conviction prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$102,071Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Polling aggregates project Democratic gains sufficient for a majority, granting the party agenda-setting power from January 2027 onward and roughly two years to advance articles. Democratic leaders have publicly left the option open, citing concerns over executive actions on funding allocation, court orders, and state-level disputes. Low odds for impeachment before year-end reflect the current Republican House majority and lack of bipartisan support. Trader pricing incorporates historical precedent that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such proceedings, while discounting Senate conviction prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання