**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without producing an agreement.** The 60-day negotiation window aimed at nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, Lebanon deconfliction, and reconstruction financing collapsed amid renewed tensions, resumed attacks, and disputes over IAEA inspections and frozen assets. Iran’s recent conditions, reiterated by security officials, include full sanctions termination and an end to naval blockades before further talks. A September 17 UNSC vote saw Russia and China veto a U.S. measure on sanctions monitoring, underscoring divisions that would likely block consensus on any comprehensive endorsement. With hostilities ongoing and no active high-level process, the short remaining window offers limited scope for the required diplomatic breakthrough.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% шанс
$242,757 Обс.
$242,757 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
14% шанс
$242,757 Обс.
$242,757 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without producing an agreement.** The 60-day negotiation window aimed at nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, Lebanon deconfliction, and reconstruction financing collapsed amid renewed tensions, resumed attacks, and disputes over IAEA inspections and frozen assets. Iran’s recent conditions, reiterated by security officials, include full sanctions termination and an end to naval blockades before further talks. A September 17 UNSC vote saw Russia and China veto a U.S. measure on sanctions monitoring, underscoring divisions that would likely block consensus on any comprehensive endorsement. With hostilities ongoing and no active high-level process, the short remaining window offers limited scope for the required diplomatic breakthrough.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Обсяг
$242,757Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without producing an agreement.** The 60-day negotiation window aimed at nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, Lebanon deconfliction, and reconstruction financing collapsed amid renewed tensions, resumed attacks, and disputes over IAEA inspections and frozen assets. Iran’s recent conditions, reiterated by security officials, include full sanctions termination and an end to naval blockades before further talks. A September 17 UNSC vote saw Russia and China veto a U.S. measure on sanctions monitoring, underscoring divisions that would likely block consensus on any comprehensive endorsement. With hostilities ongoing and no active high-level process, the short remaining window offers limited scope for the required diplomatic breakthrough.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$242,757Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” on a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without producing an agreement.** The 60-day negotiation window aimed at nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, Lebanon deconfliction, and reconstruction financing collapsed amid renewed tensions, resumed attacks, and disputes over IAEA inspections and frozen assets. Iran’s recent conditions, reiterated by security officials, include full sanctions termination and an end to naval blockades before further talks. A September 17 UNSC vote saw Russia and China veto a U.S. measure on sanctions monitoring, underscoring divisions that would likely block consensus on any comprehensive endorsement. With hostilities ongoing and no active high-level process, the short remaining window offers limited scope for the required diplomatic breakthrough.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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