Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby positions including Mocha and Dhubab during a rapid coastal offensive. This gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the strategic chokepoint that divides the strait into shipping channels, building on their prior hold over much of Yemen’s western coastline. Saudi Arabia responded with limited air raids, while U.S. support has focused on intelligence rather than direct strikes or ground involvement. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to amphibious assault over time, yet the Houthis’ surrounding territorial control and missile capabilities create significant barriers to reversal. Any shift in control would likely require coordinated coalition operations or a broader diplomatic settlement tied to the wider Iran-related conflict.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
4%
October 31
15%
December 31
26%
$8,953 Обс.
September 30
$1,730 Обс.
4%
October 31
$4,052 Обс.
15%
December 31
$3,181 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby positions including Mocha and Dhubab during a rapid coastal offensive. This gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the strategic chokepoint that divides the strait into shipping channels, building on their prior hold over much of Yemen’s western coastline. Saudi Arabia responded with limited air raids, while U.S. support has focused on intelligence rather than direct strikes or ground involvement. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to amphibious assault over time, yet the Houthis’ surrounding territorial control and missile capabilities create significant barriers to reversal. Any shift in control would likely require coordinated coalition operations or a broader diplomatic settlement tied to the wider Iran-related conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,953Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby positions including Mocha and Dhubab during a rapid coastal offensive. This gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the strategic chokepoint that divides the strait into shipping channels, building on their prior hold over much of Yemen’s western coastline. Saudi Arabia responded with limited air raids, while U.S. support has focused on intelligence rather than direct strikes or ground involvement. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to amphibious assault over time, yet the Houthis’ surrounding territorial control and missile capabilities create significant barriers to reversal. Any shift in control would likely require coordinated coalition operations or a broader diplomatic settlement tied to the wider Iran-related conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,953Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayun) in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby positions including Mocha and Dhubab during a rapid coastal offensive. This gave the Iran-aligned group direct control over the strategic chokepoint that divides the strait into shipping channels, building on their prior hold over much of Yemen’s western coastline. Saudi Arabia responded with limited air raids, while U.S. support has focused on intelligence rather than direct strikes or ground involvement. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to amphibious assault over time, yet the Houthis’ surrounding territorial control and missile capabilities create significant barriers to reversal. Any shift in control would likely require coordinated coalition operations or a broader diplomatic settlement tied to the wider Iran-related conflict.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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