Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding lead in the WA-07 race, with traders assigning her a 96.2% implied probability of victory. The Seattle-based district carries a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent past results and a high Partisan Voter Index. Jayapal, the incumbent seeking a sixth term, dominated the August 2026 top-two primary with over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and organization have kept opposition weak. A late national surge for Republicans or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's underlying fundamentals make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-07 House Election Winner
WA-07 House Election Winner
$34,611 Обс.
$34,611 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Pramila Jayapal (D)
96%
Nirav Sheth (R)
2%
$34,611 Обс.
$34,611 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Pramila Jayapal (D)
$11,607 Обс.
96%
Nirav Sheth (R)
$23,004 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding lead in the WA-07 race, with traders assigning her a 96.2% implied probability of victory. The Seattle-based district carries a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent past results and a high Partisan Voter Index. Jayapal, the incumbent seeking a sixth term, dominated the August 2026 top-two primary with over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and organization have kept opposition weak. A late national surge for Republicans or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's underlying fundamentals make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,611Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding lead in the WA-07 race, with traders assigning her a 96.2% implied probability of victory. The Seattle-based district carries a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent past results and a high Partisan Voter Index. Jayapal, the incumbent seeking a sixth term, dominated the August 2026 top-two primary with over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and organization have kept opposition weak. A late national surge for Republicans or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's underlying fundamentals make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,611Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding lead in the WA-07 race, with traders assigning her a 96.2% implied probability of victory. The Seattle-based district carries a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent past results and a high Partisan Voter Index. Jayapal, the incumbent seeking a sixth term, dominated the August 2026 top-two primary with over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and organization have kept opposition weak. A late national surge for Republicans or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's underlying fundamentals make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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