The closely contested duel between Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann drives trader pricing for second place in the October 9-10 first round of the Socialist Party presidential primary. Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary has narrowed what had appeared a clearer path for Glucksmann, the Place Publique co-president and early favorite, while both candidates spar over primary eligibility rules and potential broadening to figures such as François Ruffin. With formal candidacies still open until mid-September and additional entrants including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, the field remains fluid. The current distribution of probabilities across these contenders reflects uncertainty over vote consolidation among PS militants and sympathizers ahead of the two-round vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOlivier Faure 43%
Raphaël Glucksmann 16%
Philippe Brun 12%
Ségolène Royal 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 10, 2026
Olivier Faure
43%
Raphaël Glucksmann
16%
Philippe Brun
12%
Ségolène Royal
10%
Jérôme Guedj
8%
Emmanuel Maurel
7%
Olivier Faure 43%
Raphaël Glucksmann 16%
Philippe Brun 12%
Ségolène Royal 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 10, 2026
Olivier Faure
$554 Обс.
43%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$1,566 Обс.
16%
Philippe Brun
$69 Обс.
12%
Ségolène Royal
$947 Обс.
10%
Jérôme Guedj
$208 Обс.
8%
Emmanuel Maurel
$212 Обс.
7%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closely contested duel between Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann drives trader pricing for second place in the October 9-10 first round of the Socialist Party presidential primary. Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary has narrowed what had appeared a clearer path for Glucksmann, the Place Publique co-president and early favorite, while both candidates spar over primary eligibility rules and potential broadening to figures such as François Ruffin. With formal candidacies still open until mid-September and additional entrants including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, the field remains fluid. The current distribution of probabilities across these contenders reflects uncertainty over vote consolidation among PS militants and sympathizers ahead of the two-round vote.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,556Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closely contested duel between Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann drives trader pricing for second place in the October 9-10 first round of the Socialist Party presidential primary. Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary has narrowed what had appeared a clearer path for Glucksmann, the Place Publique co-president and early favorite, while both candidates spar over primary eligibility rules and potential broadening to figures such as François Ruffin. With formal candidacies still open until mid-September and additional entrants including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, the field remains fluid. The current distribution of probabilities across these contenders reflects uncertainty over vote consolidation among PS militants and sympathizers ahead of the two-round vote.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Обсяг
$3,556Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested duel between Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann drives trader pricing for second place in the October 9-10 first round of the Socialist Party presidential primary. Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary has narrowed what had appeared a clearer path for Glucksmann, the Place Publique co-president and early favorite, while both candidates spar over primary eligibility rules and potential broadening to figures such as François Ruffin. With formal candidacies still open until mid-September and additional entrants including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, the field remains fluid. The current distribution of probabilities across these contenders reflects uncertainty over vote consolidation among PS militants and sympathizers ahead of the two-round vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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