Roraima voters select two senators on October 4 in a single round, creating a fragmented contest where small swings in the large undecided pool can reorder finishes behind the likely leader. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) ahead at 19-25%, with Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 17% and 15-16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) near 11-16%. High spontaneous indecision near 67% and voters’ ability to split tickets sustain tight positioning for second place. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Nicoletti favored over Surita for the runner-up spot while lower-polling names face steep barriers absent major late consolidation or turnout shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNicoletti 43.9%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 7.9%
Chico Rodrigues 7.2%
$68,655 Обс.
$68,655 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
44%
Teresa Surita
29%
Helena da Asatur
8%
Chico Rodrigues
8%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 43.9%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 7.9%
Chico Rodrigues 7.2%
$68,655 Обс.
$68,655 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$12,202 Обс.
44%
Teresa Surita
$21,897 Обс.
29%
Helena da Asatur
$4,859 Обс.
8%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,896 Обс.
8%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,188 Обс.
5%
Mario Rocha
$834 Обс.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Обс.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Обс.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Обс.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Обс.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Обс.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Обс.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima voters select two senators on October 4 in a single round, creating a fragmented contest where small swings in the large undecided pool can reorder finishes behind the likely leader. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) ahead at 19-25%, with Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 17% and 15-16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) near 11-16%. High spontaneous indecision near 67% and voters’ ability to split tickets sustain tight positioning for second place. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Nicoletti favored over Surita for the runner-up spot while lower-polling names face steep barriers absent major late consolidation or turnout shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$68,655Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima voters select two senators on October 4 in a single round, creating a fragmented contest where small swings in the large undecided pool can reorder finishes behind the likely leader. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) ahead at 19-25%, with Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 17% and 15-16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) near 11-16%. High spontaneous indecision near 67% and voters’ ability to split tickets sustain tight positioning for second place. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Nicoletti favored over Surita for the runner-up spot while lower-polling names face steep barriers absent major late consolidation or turnout shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$68,655Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Roraima voters select two senators on October 4 in a single round, creating a fragmented contest where small swings in the large undecided pool can reorder finishes behind the likely leader. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) ahead at 19-25%, with Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 17% and 15-16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) near 11-16%. High spontaneous indecision near 67% and voters’ ability to split tickets sustain tight positioning for second place. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Nicoletti favored over Surita for the runner-up spot while lower-polling names face steep barriers absent major late consolidation or turnout shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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