Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 69%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$22,731 Обс.
$22,731 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
69%
Flavio Bolsonaro
32%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 69%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$22,731 Обс.
$22,731 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$5,799 Обс.
69%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$10,807 Обс.
32%
Edmilson Costa
$542 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$575 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$342 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,256 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$406 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$438 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$601 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$448 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$558 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$432 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$527 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,731Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$22,731Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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