The tight contest for first place in Paraná’s Senate race reflects a fragmented field where recent polls show technical ties among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with high undecided shares and right-wing vote splitting limiting separation. Curi benefits from state assembly leadership and municipal networks, while Dallagnol’s profile draws anti-corruption support; Barros aligns with broader conservative tickets, and Hoffmann consolidates left-leaning preferences. The most recent catalyst is the TRE-PR’s 4-3 approval of Dallagnol’s candidacy on September 8, removing a key eligibility hurdle and potentially consolidating his base ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices these four ahead of lower-polling names because sustained polling averages and campaign alignments have not yet produced a clear frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAlexandre Curi 34%
Deltan Dallagnol 31%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 8.8%
$40,217 Обс.
$40,217 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
34%
Deltan Dallagnol
31%
Filipe Barros
27%
Gleisi
8%
Karen Guerreiro
1%
Dr. Rosinha
1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Alexandre Curi 34%
Deltan Dallagnol 31%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 8.8%
$40,217 Обс.
$40,217 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
$9,143 Обс.
34%
Deltan Dallagnol
$21,300 Обс.
31%
Filipe Barros
$6,215 Обс.
27%
Gleisi
$1,337 Обс.
8%
Karen Guerreiro
$508 Обс.
1%
Dr. Rosinha
$355 Обс.
1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$399 Обс.
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$570 Обс.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$388 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Paraná’s Senate race reflects a fragmented field where recent polls show technical ties among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with high undecided shares and right-wing vote splitting limiting separation. Curi benefits from state assembly leadership and municipal networks, while Dallagnol’s profile draws anti-corruption support; Barros aligns with broader conservative tickets, and Hoffmann consolidates left-leaning preferences. The most recent catalyst is the TRE-PR’s 4-3 approval of Dallagnol’s candidacy on September 8, removing a key eligibility hurdle and potentially consolidating his base ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices these four ahead of lower-polling names because sustained polling averages and campaign alignments have not yet produced a clear frontrunner.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,217Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Paraná’s Senate race reflects a fragmented field where recent polls show technical ties among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with high undecided shares and right-wing vote splitting limiting separation. Curi benefits from state assembly leadership and municipal networks, while Dallagnol’s profile draws anti-corruption support; Barros aligns with broader conservative tickets, and Hoffmann consolidates left-leaning preferences. The most recent catalyst is the TRE-PR’s 4-3 approval of Dallagnol’s candidacy on September 8, removing a key eligibility hurdle and potentially consolidating his base ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices these four ahead of lower-polling names because sustained polling averages and campaign alignments have not yet produced a clear frontrunner.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$40,217Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for first place in Paraná’s Senate race reflects a fragmented field where recent polls show technical ties among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with high undecided shares and right-wing vote splitting limiting separation. Curi benefits from state assembly leadership and municipal networks, while Dallagnol’s profile draws anti-corruption support; Barros aligns with broader conservative tickets, and Hoffmann consolidates left-leaning preferences. The most recent catalyst is the TRE-PR’s 4-3 approval of Dallagnol’s candidacy on September 8, removing a key eligibility hurdle and potentially consolidating his base ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices these four ahead of lower-polling names because sustained polling averages and campaign alignments have not yet produced a clear frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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