Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоManuela D'Ávila 33%
Marcel Van Hattem 27%
Rigotto 25%
Pimenta 11%
$34,663 Обс.
$34,663 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Manuela D'Ávila
33%
Marcel Van Hattem
27%
Rigotto
25%
Pimenta
11%
Sanderson
3%
Tania Peres
<1%
Ric Jones
<1%
Frederico Antunes
<1%
Luciano do MLB
<1%
Milton Cardoso
<1%
Regis Ethur
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
<1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
<1%
Manuela D'Ávila 33%
Marcel Van Hattem 27%
Rigotto 25%
Pimenta 11%
$34,663 Обс.
$34,663 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Manuela D'Ávila
$8,524 Обс.
33%
Marcel Van Hattem
$11,456 Обс.
27%
Rigotto
$3,843 Обс.
25%
Pimenta
$2,574 Обс.
11%
Sanderson
$1,837 Обс.
3%
Tania Peres
$1,032 Обс.
<1%
Ric Jones
$954 Обс.
<1%
Frederico Antunes
$753 Обс.
<1%
Luciano do MLB
$1,089 Обс.
<1%
Milton Cardoso
$340 Обс.
<1%
Regis Ethur
$419 Обс.
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
$830 Обс.
<1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$1,013 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,663Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$34,663Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання