Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRayssa Furlan 81%
Randolfe 5.9%
Lucas Barreto 4.3%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 Обс.
$33,027 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
81%
Randolfe
6%
Lucas Barreto
4%
Alliny Serrão
1%
Acácio Favacho
<1%
Helio Silva
<1%
Juíza Jô
<1%
Professor Uzian Pinto
<1%
Capi
<1%
Rayssa Furlan 81%
Randolfe 5.9%
Lucas Barreto 4.3%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 Обс.
$33,027 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$24,894 Обс.
81%
Randolfe
$1,437 Обс.
6%
Lucas Barreto
$1,386 Обс.
4%
Alliny Serrão
$1,207 Обс.
1%
Acácio Favacho
$879 Обс.
<1%
Helio Silva
$573 Обс.
<1%
Juíza Jô
$952 Обс.
<1%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$947 Обс.
<1%
Capi
$751 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,027Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$33,027Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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