Recent polling in Paraná's race for two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, Alexandre Curi, and Gleisi Hoffmann clustered within a few points of one another, often separated only by margins of error and large undecided blocs exceeding 30 percent. September surveys from Real Time Big Data and others place Dallagnol narrowly ahead overall while Barros and Curi trade positions in first- and second-vote scenarios, reflecting regional strengths and party mobilization differences. High indecision, combined with ongoing legal proceedings affecting candidate eligibility, sustains volatility in second-place probabilities as voters consolidate behind frontrunners or shift among the mid-tier contenders in the final weeks before the October 4 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFilipe Barros 40%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Gleisi 14.8%
Deltan Dallagnol 7%
$34,886 Обс.
$34,886 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Filipe Barros
40%
Alexandre Curi
21%
Gleisi
15%
Deltan Dallagnol
13%
Cristina Reis Graeml
1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Filipe Barros 40%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Gleisi 14.8%
Deltan Dallagnol 7%
$34,886 Обс.
$34,886 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Filipe Barros
$11,918 Обс.
40%
Alexandre Curi
$5,417 Обс.
21%
Gleisi
$5,354 Обс.
15%
Deltan Dallagnol
$8,096 Обс.
13%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,651 Обс.
1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$605 Обс.
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
$574 Обс.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Обс.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Paraná's race for two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, Alexandre Curi, and Gleisi Hoffmann clustered within a few points of one another, often separated only by margins of error and large undecided blocs exceeding 30 percent. September surveys from Real Time Big Data and others place Dallagnol narrowly ahead overall while Barros and Curi trade positions in first- and second-vote scenarios, reflecting regional strengths and party mobilization differences. High indecision, combined with ongoing legal proceedings affecting candidate eligibility, sustains volatility in second-place probabilities as voters consolidate behind frontrunners or shift among the mid-tier contenders in the final weeks before the October 4 ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,886Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Paraná's race for two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, Alexandre Curi, and Gleisi Hoffmann clustered within a few points of one another, often separated only by margins of error and large undecided blocs exceeding 30 percent. September surveys from Real Time Big Data and others place Dallagnol narrowly ahead overall while Barros and Curi trade positions in first- and second-vote scenarios, reflecting regional strengths and party mobilization differences. High indecision, combined with ongoing legal proceedings affecting candidate eligibility, sustains volatility in second-place probabilities as voters consolidate behind frontrunners or shift among the mid-tier contenders in the final weeks before the October 4 ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$34,886Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Paraná's race for two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with Deltan Dallagnol, Filipe Barros, Alexandre Curi, and Gleisi Hoffmann clustered within a few points of one another, often separated only by margins of error and large undecided blocs exceeding 30 percent. September surveys from Real Time Big Data and others place Dallagnol narrowly ahead overall while Barros and Curi trade positions in first- and second-vote scenarios, reflecting regional strengths and party mobilization differences. High indecision, combined with ongoing legal proceedings affecting candidate eligibility, sustains volatility in second-place probabilities as voters consolidate behind frontrunners or shift among the mid-tier contenders in the final weeks before the October 4 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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