**Julio Cesar leads trader pricing for second place in Piauí’s October 4 Senate contest, with Marcelo Castro and Ciro Nogueira as the main alternatives.** Multiple June 2026 polls, including AtlasIntel and Amostragem, showed Castro ahead overall while Julio Cesar frequently placed second in consolidated first-plus-second vote scenarios or led outright in second-preference measures. High undecided rates above 60 percent and strong coalition backing from Governor Rafael Fonteles and President Lula for the “A Força do Povo” ticket keep the race fluid. Ciro Nogueira trails in most surveys amid higher rejection. Recent candidate registrations confirm over 20 contenders, but the three frontrunners dominate. Late shifts in turnout, coalition consolidation, or second-vote preferences could still alter the ordering before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJulio Cesar 50.0%
Marcelo Castro 30.6%
Ciro Nogueira 13%
Tiago Junqueira 5.0%
$44,659 Обс.
$44,659 Обс.

Julio Cesar
50%

Marcelo Castro
31%

Ciro Nogueira
13%

Tiago Junqueira
5%

Maria Madalena Nunes
1%

Jardenya Bezerra
1%

Cloves José
<1%

Toinho Dufrango
<1%

Dionisio Carvalho
<1%

Francinaldo Leão
<1%

Alexandre Mariano
<1%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%

Antônio Barros
<1%

Antônio José Lira
<1%

Danniel Rocha
<1%

Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%

Jorge Lopes
<1%

Major Paulo Roberto
<1%

Pastor Sena
<1%

Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Julio Cesar 50.0%
Marcelo Castro 30.6%
Ciro Nogueira 13%
Tiago Junqueira 5.0%
$44,659 Обс.
$44,659 Обс.

Julio Cesar
50%

Marcelo Castro
31%

Ciro Nogueira
13%

Tiago Junqueira
5%

Maria Madalena Nunes
1%

Jardenya Bezerra
1%

Cloves José
<1%

Toinho Dufrango
<1%

Dionisio Carvalho
<1%

Francinaldo Leão
<1%

Alexandre Mariano
<1%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%

Antônio Barros
<1%

Antônio José Lira
<1%

Danniel Rocha
<1%

Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%

Jorge Lopes
<1%

Major Paulo Roberto
<1%

Pastor Sena
<1%

Pedro Laurentino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Julio Cesar leads trader pricing for second place in Piauí’s October 4 Senate contest, with Marcelo Castro and Ciro Nogueira as the main alternatives.** Multiple June 2026 polls, including AtlasIntel and Amostragem, showed Castro ahead overall while Julio Cesar frequently placed second in consolidated first-plus-second vote scenarios or led outright in second-preference measures. High undecided rates above 60 percent and strong coalition backing from Governor Rafael Fonteles and President Lula for the “A Força do Povo” ticket keep the race fluid. Ciro Nogueira trails in most surveys amid higher rejection. Recent candidate registrations confirm over 20 contenders, but the three frontrunners dominate. Late shifts in turnout, coalition consolidation, or second-vote preferences could still alter the ordering before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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