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icon for Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Вибори·Main Election

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Вибори·Main Election

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

Marcelo Castro 53%

Ciro Nogueira 30%

Julio Cesar 16.0%

Alexandre Mariano <1%

Polymarket

$39,672 Обс.

Marcelo Castro 53%

Ciro Nogueira 30%

Julio Cesar 16.0%

Alexandre Mariano <1%

Polymarket

$39,672 Обс.

icon for Marcelo Castro

Marcelo Castro

$10,288 Обс.

53%

icon for Ciro Nogueira

Ciro Nogueira

$11,255 Обс.

30%

icon for Julio Cesar

Julio Cesar

$2,468 Обс.

10%

icon for Alexandre Mariano

Alexandre Mariano

$999 Обс.

<1%

icon for Antônio Barros

Antônio Barros

$917 Обс.

<1%

icon for Antônio José Lira

Antônio José Lira

$954 Обс.

<1%

icon for Cloves José

Cloves José

$860 Обс.

<1%

icon for Danniel Rocha

Danniel Rocha

$840 Обс.

<1%

icon for Dionisio Carvalho

Dionisio Carvalho

$879 Обс.

<1%

icon for Francinaldo Leão

Francinaldo Leão

$971 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jardenya Bezerra

Jardenya Bezerra

$840 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jorge Lopes

Jorge Lopes

$840 Обс.

<1%

icon for Maria Madalena Nunes

Maria Madalena Nunes

$945 Обс.

<1%

icon for Missionário Evandro Craveiro

Missionário Evandro Craveiro

$1,105 Обс.

<1%

icon for Pastor Sena

Pastor Sena

$810 Обс.

<1%

icon for Pedro Laurentino

Pedro Laurentino

$982 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tiago Junqueira

Tiago Junqueira

$765 Обс.

<1%

icon for Toinho Dufrango

Toinho Dufrango

$1,060 Обс.

<1%

icon for Major Paulo Roberto

Major Paulo Roberto

$958 Обс.

<1%

icon for Irmão Evandro Marques

Irmão Evandro Marques

$935 Обс.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcelo Castro maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in the Piauí Senate race, consistent with June 2026 surveys from Amostragem and AtlasIntel that placed the MDB incumbent ahead of Ciro Nogueira and Júlio César in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios. Castro's positioning benefits from lower rejection rates and alignment with the state governor's coalition, while Nogueira's higher unfavorable numbers have capped his upside despite name recognition as an incumbent. Júlio César trails but remains competitive within the same governing base. With roughly 20 registered candidates, high undecided shares, and the October 4 election still weeks away, the market reflects a tight contest where modest shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among the top three could reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$39,672
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcelo Castro maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in the Piauí Senate race, consistent with June 2026 surveys from Amostragem and AtlasIntel that placed the MDB incumbent ahead of Ciro Nogueira and Júlio César in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios. Castro's positioning benefits from lower rejection rates and alignment with the state governor's coalition, while Nogueira's higher unfavorable numbers have capped his upside despite name recognition as an incumbent. Júlio César trails but remains competitive within the same governing base. With roughly 20 registered candidates, high undecided shares, and the October 4 election still weeks away, the market reflects a tight contest where modest shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among the top three could reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$39,672
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

35%
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

81%
icon for Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

34%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 20 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Marcelo Castro» з 53%, далі «Ciro Nogueira» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place» згенерував $39.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place», перегляньте 20 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place» — «Marcelo Castro» з 53%. Наступний — «Ciro Nogueira» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.