Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBia Kicis 64.3%
Leila do Vôlei 32%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.2%
Erika Kokay <1%
$47,278 Обс.
$47,278 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
64%
Leila do Vôlei
32%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Erika Kokay
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 64.3%
Leila do Vôlei 32%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.2%
Erika Kokay <1%
$47,278 Обс.
$47,278 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
$12,068 Обс.
64%
Leila do Vôlei
$16,364 Обс.
32%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$5,666 Обс.
4%
Erika Kokay
$7,281 Обс.
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$437 Обс.
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 Обс.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 Обс.
<1%
Marley
$392 Обс.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 Обс.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 Обс.
<1%
Tiago
$546 Обс.
<1%
Zanata
$417 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,278Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$47,278Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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