The competitive U.S. Senate matchup between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, consistently polling within the margin of error as a toss-up, forms the main driver of trader expectations for Ohio turnout on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters, the race's battleground status, economic concerns, and generational splits in support have sustained engagement, particularly among independents and unaffiliated voters who showed stronger participation in May primaries. Campaigns' focus on likely-voter outreach and early voting starting in October further support clustering around the 4.5M-4.65M range as the leading outcome, while historical midterm patterns and voter-roll maintenance limit upside in higher bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.5M-4.65M 43.5%
4.65M-4.8M 27%
4.35M-4.5M 23%
3.9M-4.05M 4.6%
$15,278 Обс.
$15,278 Обс.
<3.9M
4%
3.9M-4.05M
5%
4.05M-4.2M
4%
4.2M-4.35M
3%
4.35M-4.5M
23%
4.5M-4.65M
43%
4.65M-4.8M
27%
4.8M-4.95M
<1%
4.95M-5.1M
5%
5.1M+
1%
4.5M-4.65M 43.5%
4.65M-4.8M 27%
4.35M-4.5M 23%
3.9M-4.05M 4.6%
$15,278 Обс.
$15,278 Обс.
<3.9M
4%
3.9M-4.05M
5%
4.05M-4.2M
4%
4.2M-4.35M
3%
4.35M-4.5M
23%
4.5M-4.65M
43%
4.65M-4.8M
27%
4.8M-4.95M
<1%
4.95M-5.1M
5%
5.1M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The competitive U.S. Senate matchup between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, consistently polling within the margin of error as a toss-up, forms the main driver of trader expectations for Ohio turnout on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters, the race's battleground status, economic concerns, and generational splits in support have sustained engagement, particularly among independents and unaffiliated voters who showed stronger participation in May primaries. Campaigns' focus on likely-voter outreach and early voting starting in October further support clustering around the 4.5M-4.65M range as the leading outcome, while historical midterm patterns and voter-roll maintenance limit upside in higher bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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