An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTennessee Senate Election: Turnout
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout
2M-2.2M 37%
1.6M-1.8M 31.6%
1.8M-2M 29.4%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
37%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
2M-2.2M 37%
1.6M-1.8M 31.6%
1.8M-2M 29.4%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
$1,087 Обс.
1%
1.6M-1.8M
$1,084 Обс.
32%
1.8M-2M
$1,155 Обс.
26%
2M-2.2M
$1,506 Обс.
37%
2.2M-2.4M
$603 Обс.
6%
2.4M-2.6M
$619 Обс.
1%
2.6M+
$1,267 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,321Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$7,321Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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