Colorado's U.S. Senate race, featuring incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper against Republican Mark Baisley, carries a Safe Democratic rating with limited national polarization or competitive pressure, anchoring trader expectations for turnout near recent midterm levels adjusted for population growth and the state's roughly 4 million active voters. Colorado's universal mail ballot system, which drove nearly 36% primary participation amid a competitive Democratic contest and strong unaffiliated engagement, continues to support elevated general election participation without requiring in-person surges. Key variables include early voting volume, demographic differentials among younger and unaffiliated voters, and any late-cycle mobilization efforts. These structural factors position the 2.55M-2.7M and adjacent ranges as consensus outcomes, reflecting historical patterns rather than dramatic spikes or shortfalls.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.55M-2.7M 38%
2.7M-2.85M 26%
2.4M-2.55M 22%
2.85M-3M 6.2%
<2.1M
1%
2.1M-2.25M
3%
2.25M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.55M
22%
2.55M-2.7M
38%
2.7M-2.85M
26%
2.85M-3M
6%
3M+
1%
2.55M-2.7M 38%
2.7M-2.85M 26%
2.4M-2.55M 22%
2.85M-3M 6.2%
<2.1M
1%
2.1M-2.25M
3%
2.25M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.55M
22%
2.55M-2.7M
38%
2.7M-2.85M
26%
2.85M-3M
6%
3M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Colorado's U.S. Senate race, featuring incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper against Republican Mark Baisley, carries a Safe Democratic rating with limited national polarization or competitive pressure, anchoring trader expectations for turnout near recent midterm levels adjusted for population growth and the state's roughly 4 million active voters. Colorado's universal mail ballot system, which drove nearly 36% primary participation amid a competitive Democratic contest and strong unaffiliated engagement, continues to support elevated general election participation without requiring in-person surges. Key variables include early voting volume, demographic differentials among younger and unaffiliated voters, and any late-cycle mobilization efforts. These structural factors position the 2.55M-2.7M and adjacent ranges as consensus outcomes, reflecting historical patterns rather than dramatic spikes or shortfalls.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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