In the non-competitive 2026 New Jersey Senate race between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy, trader consensus centers on 2.8M–3.4M total votes cast because the safe Democratic tilt has produced limited campaign intensity and weak mobilization signals since the June primaries. Light Republican primary participation and historical midterm patterns—where turnout typically lags presidential-year levels—anchor moderate expectations, while Democratic registration edges and expanded early and mail voting options may boost participation in urban and suburban areas. No major recent developments have shifted these dynamics, keeping probabilities clustered in the middle ranges ahead of November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3M-3.2M 45%
2.8M-3M 25%
3.2M-3.4M 17%
3.4M-3.6M 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
15%
2.6M-2.8M
9%
2.8M-3M
27%
3M-3.2M
45%
3.2M-3.4M
17%
3.4M-3.6M
14%
3.6M-3.8M
5%
3.8M+
4%
3M-3.2M 45%
2.8M-3M 25%
3.2M-3.4M 17%
3.4M-3.6M 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
<2.4M
$1,218 Обс.
2%
2.4M-2.6M
$54 Обс.
15%
2.6M-2.8M
$54 Обс.
9%
2.8M-3M
$171 Обс.
27%
3M-3.2M
$1,404 Обс.
45%
3.2M-3.4M
$150 Обс.
17%
3.4M-3.6M
$54 Обс.
14%
3.6M-3.8M
$54 Обс.
5%
3.8M+
$54 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the non-competitive 2026 New Jersey Senate race between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy, trader consensus centers on 2.8M–3.4M total votes cast because the safe Democratic tilt has produced limited campaign intensity and weak mobilization signals since the June primaries. Light Republican primary participation and historical midterm patterns—where turnout typically lags presidential-year levels—anchor moderate expectations, while Democratic registration edges and expanded early and mail voting options may boost participation in urban and suburban areas. No major recent developments have shifted these dynamics, keeping probabilities clustered in the middle ranges ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,213Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the non-competitive 2026 New Jersey Senate race between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy, trader consensus centers on 2.8M–3.4M total votes cast because the safe Democratic tilt has produced limited campaign intensity and weak mobilization signals since the June primaries. Light Republican primary participation and historical midterm patterns—where turnout typically lags presidential-year levels—anchor moderate expectations, while Democratic registration edges and expanded early and mail voting options may boost participation in urban and suburban areas. No major recent developments have shifted these dynamics, keeping probabilities clustered in the middle ranges ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,213Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...In the non-competitive 2026 New Jersey Senate race between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy, trader consensus centers on 2.8M–3.4M total votes cast because the safe Democratic tilt has produced limited campaign intensity and weak mobilization signals since the June primaries. Light Republican primary participation and historical midterm patterns—where turnout typically lags presidential-year levels—anchor moderate expectations, while Democratic registration edges and expanded early and mail voting options may boost participation in urban and suburban areas. No major recent developments have shifted these dynamics, keeping probabilities clustered in the middle ranges ahead of November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
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