Forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 stems primarily from variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-90% that limit radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. Official model guidance shows daily lows clustered between 25-27°C amid light winds and possible patchy rain, with slight divergences in timing of clearing skies or precipitation intensity creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25-28°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering moisture from regional systems, have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with September climatology where minima rarely fall below 24°C without stronger cold-air advection. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities as the night progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
22°C or below 90%
23°C 90%
24°C 90%
26°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
90%
25°C
46%
26°C
47%
27°C
42%
28°C
50%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 90%
23°C 90%
24°C 90%
26°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
23°C
$5 Обс.
90%
24°C
$5 Обс.
90%
25°C
$0 Обс.
46%
26°C
$30 Обс.
47%
27°C
$20 Обс.
42%
28°C
$39 Обс.
50%
29°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$31 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 stems primarily from variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-90% that limit radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. Official model guidance shows daily lows clustered between 25-27°C amid light winds and possible patchy rain, with slight divergences in timing of clearing skies or precipitation intensity creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25-28°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering moisture from regional systems, have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with September climatology where minima rarely fall below 24°C without stronger cold-air advection. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$230Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 stems primarily from variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-90% that limit radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. Official model guidance shows daily lows clustered between 25-27°C amid light winds and possible patchy rain, with slight divergences in timing of clearing skies or precipitation intensity creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25-28°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering moisture from regional systems, have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with September climatology where minima rarely fall below 24°C without stronger cold-air advection. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$230Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 stems primarily from variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels near 80-90% that limit radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. Official model guidance shows daily lows clustered between 25-27°C amid light winds and possible patchy rain, with slight divergences in timing of clearing skies or precipitation intensity creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25-28°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering moisture from regional systems, have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with September climatology where minima rarely fall below 24°C without stronger cold-air advection. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities as the night progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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