Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime heating. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear gradually, allowing partial sun but not enough to push readings much above recent daily maxima near 76–78°F. This consensus across GFS and local forecasts explains the tight split in market-implied odds between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting typical September variability under stable onshore conditions. Any late adjustments in clearing timing or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 22?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 22?
74-75°F 50%
76-77°F 41%
72-73°F 7%
78-79°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 50%
76-77°F 41%
72-73°F 7%
78-79°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
65°F or below
$242 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$115 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$135 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$66 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$699 Обс.
7%
74-75°F
$1,179 Обс.
50%
76-77°F
$2,599 Обс.
41%
78-79°F
$505 Обс.
4%
80-81°F
$66 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$111 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$95 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime heating. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear gradually, allowing partial sun but not enough to push readings much above recent daily maxima near 76–78°F. This consensus across GFS and local forecasts explains the tight split in market-implied odds between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting typical September variability under stable onshore conditions. Any late adjustments in clearing timing or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,812Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime heating. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear gradually, allowing partial sun but not enough to push readings much above recent daily maxima near 76–78°F. This consensus across GFS and local forecasts explains the tight split in market-implied odds between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting typical September variability under stable onshore conditions. Any late adjustments in clearing timing or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,812Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime heating. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear gradually, allowing partial sun but not enough to push readings much above recent daily maxima near 76–78°F. This consensus across GFS and local forecasts explains the tight split in market-implied odds between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting typical September variability under stable onshore conditions. Any late adjustments in clearing timing or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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