Recent National Weather Service and model guidance converge on a high near 69°F for Seattle on September 20 under partly sunny skies transitioning to full sun, with light northerly winds limiting afternoon mixing and keeping temperatures near the late-September climatological average of 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest ensemble spread in maximum temperature forecasts, driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer depth rather than any major synoptic shift. Stable high pressure and absence of onshore flow or marine push keep upside potential limited, while slight model variations in peak insolation support the balanced trader positioning around the most probable 68–71°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 20?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 20?
68-69°F 32%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 32%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
63°F or below
$363 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$303 Обс.
4%
66-67°F
$46 Обс.
17%
68-69°F
$131 Обс.
32%
70-71°F
$265 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$25 Обс.
13%
74-75°F
$183 Обс.
7%
76-77°F
$60 Обс.
3%
78-79°F
$87 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$135 Обс.
<1%
82°F or higher
$125 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance converge on a high near 69°F for Seattle on September 20 under partly sunny skies transitioning to full sun, with light northerly winds limiting afternoon mixing and keeping temperatures near the late-September climatological average of 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest ensemble spread in maximum temperature forecasts, driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer depth rather than any major synoptic shift. Stable high pressure and absence of onshore flow or marine push keep upside potential limited, while slight model variations in peak insolation support the balanced trader positioning around the most probable 68–71°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,724Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance converge on a high near 69°F for Seattle on September 20 under partly sunny skies transitioning to full sun, with light northerly winds limiting afternoon mixing and keeping temperatures near the late-September climatological average of 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest ensemble spread in maximum temperature forecasts, driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer depth rather than any major synoptic shift. Stable high pressure and absence of onshore flow or marine push keep upside potential limited, while slight model variations in peak insolation support the balanced trader positioning around the most probable 68–71°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,724Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance converge on a high near 69°F for Seattle on September 20 under partly sunny skies transitioning to full sun, with light northerly winds limiting afternoon mixing and keeping temperatures near the late-September climatological average of 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest ensemble spread in maximum temperature forecasts, driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer depth rather than any major synoptic shift. Stable high pressure and absence of onshore flow or marine push keep upside potential limited, while slight model variations in peak insolation support the balanced trader positioning around the most probable 68–71°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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