Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 22?
2°C or below 85%
12°C or higher 84%
3°C 37%
4°C 37%
2°C or below
85%
3°C
37%
4°C
37%
5°C
19%
6°C
19%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C or higher
84%
2°C or below 85%
12°C or higher 84%
3°C 37%
4°C 37%
2°C or below
85%
3°C
37%
4°C
37%
5°C
19%
6°C
19%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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