Recent Met Office and NOAA-aligned forecasts for London on September 21, 2026, show a high-pressure system (around 1032 hPa) delivering mostly sunny skies, light variable winds under 3 mph, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak surface heating to 22–23 °C. Official guidance lists a maximum of 23 °C, consistent with hourly model runs projecting afternoon temperatures reaching that level before cooling after 5 pm. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (57 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %), as traders incorporate the consensus from current model ensembles while noting small upside risk from localized urban heat or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region average near 19–20 °C, underscoring the mild warm anomaly driving the implied probabilities. Updated agency briefings later today could refine exact maxima and shift odds if insolation or wind patterns change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 21?
Highest temperature in London on September 21?
22°C 57%
23°C 31%
21°C 11%
24°C 5%
$45,323 Обс.
$45,323 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
11%
22°C
57%
23°C
31%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 57%
23°C 31%
21°C 11%
24°C 5%
$45,323 Обс.
$45,323 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$166 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$2,525 Обс.
1%
20°C
$3,170 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$5,161 Обс.
11%
22°C
$8,261 Обс.
57%
23°C
$12,348 Обс.
31%
24°C
$8,387 Обс.
5%
25°C
$4,859 Обс.
1%
26°C
$1,365 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$290 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$291 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and NOAA-aligned forecasts for London on September 21, 2026, show a high-pressure system (around 1032 hPa) delivering mostly sunny skies, light variable winds under 3 mph, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak surface heating to 22–23 °C. Official guidance lists a maximum of 23 °C, consistent with hourly model runs projecting afternoon temperatures reaching that level before cooling after 5 pm. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (57 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %), as traders incorporate the consensus from current model ensembles while noting small upside risk from localized urban heat or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region average near 19–20 °C, underscoring the mild warm anomaly driving the implied probabilities. Updated agency briefings later today could refine exact maxima and shift odds if insolation or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,323Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and NOAA-aligned forecasts for London on September 21, 2026, show a high-pressure system (around 1032 hPa) delivering mostly sunny skies, light variable winds under 3 mph, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak surface heating to 22–23 °C. Official guidance lists a maximum of 23 °C, consistent with hourly model runs projecting afternoon temperatures reaching that level before cooling after 5 pm. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (57 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %), as traders incorporate the consensus from current model ensembles while noting small upside risk from localized urban heat or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region average near 19–20 °C, underscoring the mild warm anomaly driving the implied probabilities. Updated agency briefings later today could refine exact maxima and shift odds if insolation or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$45,323Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and NOAA-aligned forecasts for London on September 21, 2026, show a high-pressure system (around 1032 hPa) delivering mostly sunny skies, light variable winds under 3 mph, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak surface heating to 22–23 °C. Official guidance lists a maximum of 23 °C, consistent with hourly model runs projecting afternoon temperatures reaching that level before cooling after 5 pm. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (57 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %), as traders incorporate the consensus from current model ensembles while noting small upside risk from localized urban heat or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region average near 19–20 °C, underscoring the mild warm anomaly driving the implied probabilities. Updated agency briefings later today could refine exact maxima and shift odds if insolation or wind patterns change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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