Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a San Francisco high near 67°F on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime warming. Ensemble consensus keeps most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s, with implied probabilities favoring 66–69°F ranges amid typical late-September climatology of 70.6°F averages. Key variables differentiating bins include the timing and depth of morning low clouds, exact wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing that could add a degree or two. Fresh model runs and NWS updates through the next 48 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 21%
64-65°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 21%
64-65°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
61°F or below
$333 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$159 Обс.
3%
64-65°F
$202 Обс.
13%
66-67°F
$424 Обс.
26%
68-69°F
$290 Обс.
35%
70-71°F
$420 Обс.
21%
72-73°F
$153 Обс.
9%
74-75°F
$40 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$10 Обс.
2%
78-79°F
$95 Обс.
<1%
80°F or higher
$95 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a San Francisco high near 67°F on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime warming. Ensemble consensus keeps most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s, with implied probabilities favoring 66–69°F ranges amid typical late-September climatology of 70.6°F averages. Key variables differentiating bins include the timing and depth of morning low clouds, exact wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing that could add a degree or two. Fresh model runs and NWS updates through the next 48 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,223Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a San Francisco high near 67°F on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime warming. Ensemble consensus keeps most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s, with implied probabilities favoring 66–69°F ranges amid typical late-September climatology of 70.6°F averages. Key variables differentiating bins include the timing and depth of morning low clouds, exact wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing that could add a degree or two. Fresh model runs and NWS updates through the next 48 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,223Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a San Francisco high near 67°F on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore southwest flow that limits daytime warming. Ensemble consensus keeps most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s, with implied probabilities favoring 66–69°F ranges amid typical late-September climatology of 70.6°F averages. Key variables differentiating bins include the timing and depth of morning low clouds, exact wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing that could add a degree or two. Fresh model runs and NWS updates through the next 48 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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