**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 21 centers on 27°C as the leading outcome (56.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (25.5%), reflecting consensus official forecasts.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range for the day, with multiple models and services (including detailed hourly guidance) pointing to overnight lows near 26–27°C under light winds, high humidity (65–95%), and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms from upper-level disturbances. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios. Recent observations show sea-surface temperatures around 29°C and soil temperatures near 30°C, sustaining the warm, muggy environment typical of late September. No significant steering changes or stronger systems are expected to alter overnight temperatures before resolution. Market positioning aligns closely with this model consensus while leaving modest room for slight revisions in final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 12%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
17%
27°C
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 12%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$37 Обс.
2%
23°C
$380 Обс.
1%
24°C
$220 Обс.
2%
25°C
$407 Обс.
5%
26°C
$608 Обс.
17%
27°C
$2,146 Обс.
49%
28°C
$2,289 Обс.
27%
29°C
$30 Обс.
1%
30°C
$284 Обс.
1%
31°C
$280 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$4 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 21 centers on 27°C as the leading outcome (56.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (25.5%), reflecting consensus official forecasts.**
The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range for the day, with multiple models and services (including detailed hourly guidance) pointing to overnight lows near 26–27°C under light winds, high humidity (65–95%), and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms from upper-level disturbances. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios.
Recent observations show sea-surface temperatures around 29°C and soil temperatures near 30°C, sustaining the warm, muggy environment typical of late September. No significant steering changes or stronger systems are expected to alter overnight temperatures before resolution. Market positioning aligns closely with this model consensus while leaving modest room for slight revisions in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,686Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 21 centers on 27°C as the leading outcome (56.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (25.5%), reflecting consensus official forecasts.**
The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range for the day, with multiple models and services (including detailed hourly guidance) pointing to overnight lows near 26–27°C under light winds, high humidity (65–95%), and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms from upper-level disturbances. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios.
Recent observations show sea-surface temperatures around 29°C and soil temperatures near 30°C, sustaining the warm, muggy environment typical of late September. No significant steering changes or stronger systems are expected to alter overnight temperatures before resolution. Market positioning aligns closely with this model consensus while leaving modest room for slight revisions in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,686Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 21 centers on 27°C as the leading outcome (56.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (25.5%), reflecting consensus official forecasts.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a 27–32°C range for the day, with multiple models and services (including detailed hourly guidance) pointing to overnight lows near 26–27°C under light winds, high humidity (65–95%), and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms from upper-level disturbances. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios. Recent observations show sea-surface temperatures around 29°C and soil temperatures near 30°C, sustaining the warm, muggy environment typical of late September. No significant steering changes or stronger systems are expected to alter overnight temperatures before resolution. Market positioning aligns closely with this model consensus while leaving modest room for slight revisions in final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання