Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 20?
24°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,467 Обс.
$40,467 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,467 Обс.
$40,467 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$5,679 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,391 Обс.
No
20°C
$337 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,600 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,078 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,851 Обс.
No
24°C
$9,894 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$6,259 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,665 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,682 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$1,031 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,467Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$40,467Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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