**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Clear, sunny conditions with light easterly winds limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums near or above typical late-September values amid stable high pressure. Subtropical humidity and urban heat effects further supported this outcome, consistent with climatological norms around 26–28°C for the period. The near-certainty in market-implied odds indicates strong alignment between preliminary data releases and historical analogs, with little model or observational divergence. Only an unexpected revision to the official daily minimum—such as from a specific station or measurement protocol—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes this improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,800 Обс.
$19,800 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,800 Обс.
$19,800 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$41 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$117 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,460 Обс.
1%
26°C
$3,061 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$9,441 Обс.
100%
28°C
$2,282 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$41 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,143 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,137 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Clear, sunny conditions with light easterly winds limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums near or above typical late-September values amid stable high pressure. Subtropical humidity and urban heat effects further supported this outcome, consistent with climatological norms around 26–28°C for the period. The near-certainty in market-implied odds indicates strong alignment between preliminary data releases and historical analogs, with little model or observational divergence. Only an unexpected revision to the official daily minimum—such as from a specific station or measurement protocol—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,800Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Clear, sunny conditions with light easterly winds limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums near or above typical late-September values amid stable high pressure. Subtropical humidity and urban heat effects further supported this outcome, consistent with climatological norms around 26–28°C for the period. The near-certainty in market-implied odds indicates strong alignment between preliminary data releases and historical analogs, with little model or observational divergence. Only an unexpected revision to the official daily minimum—such as from a specific station or measurement protocol—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,800Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Clear, sunny conditions with light easterly winds limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums near or above typical late-September values amid stable high pressure. Subtropical humidity and urban heat effects further supported this outcome, consistent with climatological norms around 26–28°C for the period. The near-certainty in market-implied odds indicates strong alignment between preliminary data releases and historical analogs, with little model or observational divergence. Only an unexpected revision to the official daily minimum—such as from a specific station or measurement protocol—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes this improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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