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icon for Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

icon for Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

20% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
20% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted by the Legislature and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson in March 2026. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and funded in part by hedge fund manager Brian Heywood, qualified after opponents gathered more than 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including public-sector unions such as the Washington Education Association and the Washington Federation of State Employees, have committed millions in early spending to defeat it, emphasizing revenue for K-12 education, higher education, healthcare, and small-business tax relief. Historical precedent supports the current trader consensus against repeal: a 2024 initiative targeting the state’s capital gains tax failed by a wide margin. The tax itself does not take effect until 2028, leaving time for further legal challenges and campaign developments before the vote.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Обсяг
$166
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted by the Legislature and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson in March 2026. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and funded in part by hedge fund manager Brian Heywood, qualified after opponents gathered more than 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including public-sector unions such as the Washington Education Association and the Washington Federation of State Employees, have committed millions in early spending to defeat it, emphasizing revenue for K-12 education, higher education, healthcare, and small-business tax relief. Historical precedent supports the current trader consensus against repeal: a 2024 initiative targeting the state’s capital gains tax failed by a wide margin. The tax itself does not take effect until 2028, leaving time for further legal challenges and campaign developments before the vote.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Обсяг
$166
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 20% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 20¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 20%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?» — 20% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 20% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.