Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Політика·Вибори в США

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Політика·Вибори в США

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Under 45 36%

45-54 22%

55-64 17%

65-74 8.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Under 45 36%

45-54 22%

55-64 17%

65-74 8.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Under 45

$1,024 Обс.

44%

45-54

$571 Обс.

22%

55-64

$247 Обс.

22%

65-74

$143 Обс.

9%

75-84

$135 Обс.

6%

85+

$148 Обс.

6%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus in this age-bracket market reflects the wide-open 2028 Democratic field and emphasis on generational turnover after consecutive older presidents. Leading probabilities for a nominee under 45 stem from the rising visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early national and state polling, alongside prediction-market pricing that places several candidates in that cohort among the top contenders. The 45-54 bracket draws support from established names like Pete Buttigieg, whose national profile and debate skills keep him competitive. Older brackets trail as party voices highlight fatigue with septuagenarian leadership and prioritize candidates who can energize newer voting blocs ahead of the post-2026 midterm primary cycle. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts based on 2026 results and early fundraising.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Обсяг
$2,268
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus in this age-bracket market reflects the wide-open 2028 Democratic field and emphasis on generational turnover after consecutive older presidents. Leading probabilities for a nominee under 45 stem from the rising visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early national and state polling, alongside prediction-market pricing that places several candidates in that cohort among the top contenders. The 45-54 bracket draws support from established names like Pete Buttigieg, whose national profile and debate skills keep him competitive. Older brackets trail as party voices highlight fatigue with septuagenarian leadership and prioritize candidates who can energize newer voting blocs ahead of the post-2026 midterm primary cycle. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts based on 2026 results and early fundraising.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Обсяг
$2,268
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Чи здобуде Александрія Окасіо-Кортес номінацію Демократичної партії на президентських виборах 2028 року?

Чи здобуде Александрія Окасіо-Кортес номінацію Демократичної партії на президентських виборах 2028 року?

18%
Так
icon for Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

30%
icon for Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

90%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Under 45» з 44%, далі «45-54» з 22%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 15, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?» — «Under 45» з 44%. Наступний — «45-54» з 22%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.