Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light to moderate winds for Istanbul on September 12, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the ongoing stable high-pressure pattern and above-average September warmth, as current readings hover around 27–28°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 23–27°C outcomes at 20% each reflects model spread in maximum temperatures, where small shifts in afternoon wind direction or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average 25–26°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in near-term guidance, though ensemble uncertainty keeps probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
25°C 42%
26°C 42%
24°C 40%
23°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
40%
25°C
42%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
7%
25°C 42%
26°C 42%
24°C 40%
23°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
23°C
$0 Обс.
13%
24°C
$0 Обс.
40%
25°C
$5 Обс.
42%
26°C
$5 Обс.
42%
27°C
$0 Обс.
13%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$0 Обс.
7%
30°C
$0 Обс.
7%
31°C
$0 Обс.
7%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light to moderate winds for Istanbul on September 12, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the ongoing stable high-pressure pattern and above-average September warmth, as current readings hover around 27–28°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 23–27°C outcomes at 20% each reflects model spread in maximum temperatures, where small shifts in afternoon wind direction or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average 25–26°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in near-term guidance, though ensemble uncertainty keeps probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light to moderate winds for Istanbul on September 12, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the ongoing stable high-pressure pattern and above-average September warmth, as current readings hover around 27–28°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 23–27°C outcomes at 20% each reflects model spread in maximum temperatures, where small shifts in afternoon wind direction or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average 25–26°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in near-term guidance, though ensemble uncertainty keeps probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light to moderate winds for Istanbul on September 12, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the ongoing stable high-pressure pattern and above-average September warmth, as current readings hover around 27–28°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 23–27°C outcomes at 20% each reflects model spread in maximum temperatures, where small shifts in afternoon wind direction or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average 25–26°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in near-term guidance, though ensemble uncertainty keeps probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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