**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 12?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 12?
26°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$72,718 Обс.
$72,718 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$72,718 Обс.
$72,718 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$1,284 Обс.
No
19°C
$349 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,349 Обс.
No
21°C
$210 Обс.
No
22°C
$21 Обс.
No
23°C
$15,794 Обс.
No
24°C
$18,214 Обс.
No
25°C
$14,462 Обс.
No
26°C
$13,655 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$4,099 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$3,281 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$72,718Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$72,718Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання