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icon for EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

icon for EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

28% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
28% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Rising EU debt levels have not triggered rating pressure on the supranational issuer.** Major agencies reaffirmed the EU's AAA/Aaa ratings with Stable Outlooks through early 2026, citing robust support from high-rated member states that account for over one-third of GNI-based contributions. Fitch affirmed AAA/Stable in January 2026, Moody's maintained Aaa/Stable in March, and DBRS confirmed AAA/Stable in April, noting the entity's preferred-creditor status, conservative budgeting, and additional budgetary headroom that buffers debt-service capacity even as outstanding bonds approach EUR 1 trillion by end-2027. Individual sovereign pressures—such as France's 2025 downgrade to A+ and widening euro-area deficits—have not spilled over to EU ratings. Recent upgrades for Portugal and positive trends for Greece further illustrate selective improvement rather than broad deterioration. With no negative outlooks or watches in place and resolution due by December 2026, trader consensus at 72% for no downgrade reflects the strength of institutional backing and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting agency assessments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,461
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Rising EU debt levels have not triggered rating pressure on the supranational issuer.** Major agencies reaffirmed the EU's AAA/Aaa ratings with Stable Outlooks through early 2026, citing robust support from high-rated member states that account for over one-third of GNI-based contributions. Fitch affirmed AAA/Stable in January 2026, Moody's maintained Aaa/Stable in March, and DBRS confirmed AAA/Stable in April, noting the entity's preferred-creditor status, conservative budgeting, and additional budgetary headroom that buffers debt-service capacity even as outstanding bonds approach EUR 1 trillion by end-2027. Individual sovereign pressures—such as France's 2025 downgrade to A+ and widening euro-area deficits—have not spilled over to EU ratings. Recent upgrades for Portugal and positive trends for Greece further illustrate selective improvement rather than broad deterioration. With no negative outlooks or watches in place and resolution due by December 2026, trader consensus at 72% for no downgrade reflects the strength of institutional backing and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting agency assessments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,461
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«EU debt downgrade before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 28% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 28¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 28%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«EU debt downgrade before 2027?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jan 7, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «EU debt downgrade before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «EU debt downgrade before 2027?» — 28% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 28% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «EU debt downgrade before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.