Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року
Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

icon for Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року
Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

БАПОР 7.6%

Юлія Навальна 8%

Міжнародний суд ООН 6.1%

Володимир Зеленський 2.9%

Polymarket

$23,808,962 Обс.

БАПОР 7.6%

Юлія Навальна 8%

Міжнародний суд ООН 6.1%

Володимир Зеленський 2.9%

Polymarket

$23,808,962 Обс.

icon for БАПОР

БАПОР

$2,050,201 Обс.

8%

icon for Юлія Навальна

Юлія Навальна

$296,924 Обс.

8%

icon for Міжнародний суд ООН

Міжнародний суд ООН

$911,941 Обс.

6%

icon for Володимир Зеленський

Володимир Зеленський

$814,170 Обс.

3%

icon for Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

$788,818 Обс.

2%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$1,274,350 Обс.

2%

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$4,524,401 Обс.

2%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,473,409 Обс.

1%

icon for Нарендра Моді

Нарендра Моді

$688,579 Обс.

1%

icon for Джуліан Ассанж

Джуліан Ассанж

$856,163 Обс.

1%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$819,644 Обс.

1%

icon for Антоніу Гутерріш

Антоніу Гутерріш

$638,599 Обс.

1%

icon for Сі Цзіньпін

Сі Цзіньпін

$1,435,689 Обс.

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$880,268 Обс.

<1%

icon for Чарлі Кірк

Чарлі Кірк

$1,278,471 Обс.

<1%

icon for Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

$1,067,116 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мухаммед бін Салман

Мухаммед бін Салман

$1,192,369 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ілон Маск

Ілон Маск

$1,191,999 Обс.

<1%

icon for Володимир Путін

Володимир Путін

$921,825 Обс.

<1%

icon for Біньямін Нетаньяху

Біньямін Нетаньяху

$704,026 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 7.5% implied probability, driven by her continued visibility as a leading voice for Russian opposition and human rights following Alexei Navalny’s death. Traders see her profile aligning with recent committee preferences for individual activists confronting authoritarian regimes. Close behind, UNRWA and the International Court of Justice draw support for their institutional humanitarian and legal roles in conflict zones, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy and others reflect ongoing geopolitical flashpoints. The tight spread among low-single-digit probabilities underscores an unusually open field of 208 nominees, where momentum hinges on late-year developments, precursor recognition, and the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s historical tilt toward human rights or multilateral efforts ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$23,808,962
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 7.5% implied probability, driven by her continued visibility as a leading voice for Russian opposition and human rights following Alexei Navalny’s death. Traders see her profile aligning with recent committee preferences for individual activists confronting authoritarian regimes. Close behind, UNRWA and the International Court of Justice draw support for their institutional humanitarian and legal roles in conflict zones, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy and others reflect ongoing geopolitical flashpoints. The tight spread among low-single-digit probabilities underscores an unusually open field of 208 nominees, where momentum hinges on late-year developments, precursor recognition, and the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s historical tilt toward human rights or multilateral efforts ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$23,808,962
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Stade Rennais FC 1901 to score first vs. Olympique de Marseille?

Stade Rennais FC 1901 to score first vs. Olympique de Marseille?

53%
icon for Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

65%
Over
icon for Atalanta BC to score first vs. Cagliari Calcio?

Atalanta BC to score first vs. Cagliari Calcio?

64%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 20 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «БАПОР» з 8%, далі «Юлія Навальна» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» згенерував $23.8 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 16, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року», перегляньте 20 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — «БАПОР» лише з 8%, а «Юлія Навальна» — близько позаду з 8%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.