Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader-implied probabilities reflecting his consistent polling edge. Recent surveys from late August through mid-September show Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios at 35-43%, outpacing main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by margins of 5-11 points, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) trail further behind. Ferraço’s broad coalition, incumbency advantages, and emphasis on security and fiscal continuity have bolstered his position ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s mayoral background and Republican backing keep him competitive as the primary alternative, though lower name recognition and support among other contenders limit his odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRicardo Ferraço 64%
Lorenzo Pazolini 37%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$41,016 Обс.
$41,016 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Ricardo Ferraço
64%
Lorenzo Pazolini
37%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 64%
Lorenzo Pazolini 37%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$41,016 Обс.
$41,016 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,596 Обс.
64%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$14,538 Обс.
37%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Обс.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Обс.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Обс.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader-implied probabilities reflecting his consistent polling edge. Recent surveys from late August through mid-September show Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios at 35-43%, outpacing main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by margins of 5-11 points, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) trail further behind. Ferraço’s broad coalition, incumbency advantages, and emphasis on security and fiscal continuity have bolstered his position ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s mayoral background and Republican backing keep him competitive as the primary alternative, though lower name recognition and support among other contenders limit his odds.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,016Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader-implied probabilities reflecting his consistent polling edge. Recent surveys from late August through mid-September show Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios at 35-43%, outpacing main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by margins of 5-11 points, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) trail further behind. Ferraço’s broad coalition, incumbency advantages, and emphasis on security and fiscal continuity have bolstered his position ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s mayoral background and Republican backing keep him competitive as the primary alternative, though lower name recognition and support among other contenders limit his odds.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$41,016Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader-implied probabilities reflecting his consistent polling edge. Recent surveys from late August through mid-September show Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios at 35-43%, outpacing main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by margins of 5-11 points, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) trail further behind. Ferraço’s broad coalition, incumbency advantages, and emphasis on security and fiscal continuity have bolstered his position ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s mayoral background and Republican backing keep him competitive as the primary alternative, though lower name recognition and support among other contenders limit his odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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