Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a 59.5% implied probability in trader assessments for the Bahia governorship, ahead of ACM Neto at 41%, with all other names at negligible levels. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established party infrastructure across the state, personal approval ratings near 53-57% in recent surveys, and Bahia's long pattern of PT executive control. ACM Neto, the União Brasil candidate and former Salvador mayor, has closed ground or led in several September polls, including one showing him near a first-round majority on valid votes, reflecting voter interest in alternation after years of PT governance. The contest remains closely watched ahead of the October vote, with low support for fringe candidates underscoring the two-way dynamic.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJerônimo Rodrigues 60%
ACM Neto 41%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,696 Обс.
$154,696 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
60%
ACM Neto
41%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 60%
ACM Neto 41%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,696 Обс.
$154,696 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$51,229 Обс.
60%
ACM Neto
$61,343 Обс.
41%
João Roma
$5,186 Обс.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Обс.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Обс.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Обс.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a 59.5% implied probability in trader assessments for the Bahia governorship, ahead of ACM Neto at 41%, with all other names at negligible levels. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established party infrastructure across the state, personal approval ratings near 53-57% in recent surveys, and Bahia's long pattern of PT executive control. ACM Neto, the União Brasil candidate and former Salvador mayor, has closed ground or led in several September polls, including one showing him near a first-round majority on valid votes, reflecting voter interest in alternation after years of PT governance. The contest remains closely watched ahead of the October vote, with low support for fringe candidates underscoring the two-way dynamic.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$154,696Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a 59.5% implied probability in trader assessments for the Bahia governorship, ahead of ACM Neto at 41%, with all other names at negligible levels. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established party infrastructure across the state, personal approval ratings near 53-57% in recent surveys, and Bahia's long pattern of PT executive control. ACM Neto, the União Brasil candidate and former Salvador mayor, has closed ground or led in several September polls, including one showing him near a first-round majority on valid votes, reflecting voter interest in alternation after years of PT governance. The contest remains closely watched ahead of the October vote, with low support for fringe candidates underscoring the two-way dynamic.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$154,696Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a 59.5% implied probability in trader assessments for the Bahia governorship, ahead of ACM Neto at 41%, with all other names at negligible levels. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established party infrastructure across the state, personal approval ratings near 53-57% in recent surveys, and Bahia's long pattern of PT executive control. ACM Neto, the União Brasil candidate and former Salvador mayor, has closed ground or led in several September polls, including one showing him near a first-round majority on valid votes, reflecting voter interest in alternation after years of PT governance. The contest remains closely watched ahead of the October vote, with low support for fringe candidates underscoring the two-way dynamic.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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