Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection on October 4, 2026. Multiple September polls, including Datafolha (49%), Paraná Pesquisas (49.7%), and others, show him ahead of Fernando Haddad (PT) by 15–20 points in the first round, with some projecting a possible outright victory above 50% of valid votes. His position reflects sustained approval ratings near 55%, voter support for his pro-market policies such as the Sabesp privatization, and the absence of strong challengers after earlier withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri. Late developments including scandals, shifts in economic sentiment, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before election day, though current polling trends indicate limited volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTarcísio de Freitas 97.8%
Fernando Haddad <1%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$311,031 Обс.
$311,031 Обс.
Oct 3, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
98%
Fernando Haddad
1%
Erika Hilton
<1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 97.8%
Fernando Haddad <1%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$311,031 Обс.
$311,031 Обс.
Oct 3, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$146,658 Обс.
98%
Fernando Haddad
$51,513 Обс.
1%
Erika Hilton
$23,068 Обс.
<1%
Kim Kataguiri
$79,124 Обс.
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 Обс.
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection on October 4, 2026. Multiple September polls, including Datafolha (49%), Paraná Pesquisas (49.7%), and others, show him ahead of Fernando Haddad (PT) by 15–20 points in the first round, with some projecting a possible outright victory above 50% of valid votes. His position reflects sustained approval ratings near 55%, voter support for his pro-market policies such as the Sabesp privatization, and the absence of strong challengers after earlier withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri. Late developments including scandals, shifts in economic sentiment, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before election day, though current polling trends indicate limited volatility.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$311,031Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection on October 4, 2026. Multiple September polls, including Datafolha (49%), Paraná Pesquisas (49.7%), and others, show him ahead of Fernando Haddad (PT) by 15–20 points in the first round, with some projecting a possible outright victory above 50% of valid votes. His position reflects sustained approval ratings near 55%, voter support for his pro-market policies such as the Sabesp privatization, and the absence of strong challengers after earlier withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri. Late developments including scandals, shifts in economic sentiment, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before election day, though current polling trends indicate limited volatility.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$311,031Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection on October 4, 2026. Multiple September polls, including Datafolha (49%), Paraná Pesquisas (49.7%), and others, show him ahead of Fernando Haddad (PT) by 15–20 points in the first round, with some projecting a possible outright victory above 50% of valid votes. His position reflects sustained approval ratings near 55%, voter support for his pro-market policies such as the Sabesp privatization, and the absence of strong challengers after earlier withdrawals by figures like Kim Kataguiri. Late developments including scandals, shifts in economic sentiment, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before election day, though current polling trends indicate limited volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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