France's summer 2026 shattered temperature records with an official average of 24.0°C across June-August, nearly a full degree above the 2003 benchmark, as confirmed by Météo-France in early September. Multiple prolonged heatwaves, extreme drought, and widespread wildfires created an unprecedented season that traders viewed as a near-lock outcome. Official agency data and consistent reporting from credible meteorological sources fueled the overwhelming market consensus, reflecting clear, verifiable evidence rather than speculation. While final dataset tweaks or narrow definitional debates remain theoretically possible, they appear highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and broad expert alignment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
>99% โอกาส
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ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
>99% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.France's summer 2026 shattered temperature records with an official average of 24.0°C across June-August, nearly a full degree above the 2003 benchmark, as confirmed by Météo-France in early September. Multiple prolonged heatwaves, extreme drought, and widespread wildfires created an unprecedented season that traders viewed as a near-lock outcome. Official agency data and consistent reporting from credible meteorological sources fueled the overwhelming market consensus, reflecting clear, verifiable evidence rather than speculation. While final dataset tweaks or narrow definitional debates remain theoretically possible, they appear highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and broad expert alignment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,715วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.France's summer 2026 shattered temperature records with an official average of 24.0°C across June-August, nearly a full degree above the 2003 benchmark, as confirmed by Météo-France in early September. Multiple prolonged heatwaves, extreme drought, and widespread wildfires created an unprecedented season that traders viewed as a near-lock outcome. Official agency data and consistent reporting from credible meteorological sources fueled the overwhelming market consensus, reflecting clear, verifiable evidence rather than speculation. While final dataset tweaks or narrow definitional debates remain theoretically possible, they appear highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and broad expert alignment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,715วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...France's summer 2026 shattered temperature records with an official average of 24.0°C across June-August, nearly a full degree above the 2003 benchmark, as confirmed by Météo-France in early September. Multiple prolonged heatwaves, extreme drought, and widespread wildfires created an unprecedented season that traders viewed as a near-lock outcome. Official agency data and consistent reporting from credible meteorological sources fueled the overwhelming market consensus, reflecting clear, verifiable evidence rather than speculation. While final dataset tweaks or narrow definitional debates remain theoretically possible, they appear highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and broad expert alignment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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