**HKO’s September 2026 outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño event, assigns a slightly elevated chance of normal-to-below-normal rainfall (historical mean ~321 mm).** Early-month observations show limited accumulation under a strengthening northeast monsoon, with most daily totals under 30 mm and several dry days through 9 September. Model guidance favors high-pressure dominance in the second half of the month, limiting organized tropical moisture and typhoon tracks near the South China Sea. Traders therefore price the sub-275 mm bin at 73.5 % while assigning minimal weight to bins above 350 mm. Key upcoming catalysts include revised HKO 10-day forecasts and any South China Sea low-pressure development that could alter steering patterns or rainfall efficiency before month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in Hong Kong in September?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
<275mm 74%
275-300mm 14%
300-325mm 7.3%
550mm+ 6.0%
$13,749 ปริมาณ
$13,749 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
<275mm
74%
275-300mm
14%
300-325mm
7%
325-350mm
4%
350-375mm
3%
375-400mm
4%
400-450mm
4%
450-500mm
1%
500-550mm
2%
550mm+
6%
<275mm 74%
275-300mm 14%
300-325mm 7.3%
550mm+ 6.0%
$13,749 ปริมาณ
$13,749 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
<275mm
$11,104 ปริมาณ
74%
275-300mm
$400 ปริมาณ
14%
300-325mm
$458 ปริมาณ
7%
325-350mm
$333 ปริมาณ
4%
350-375mm
$220 ปริมาณ
3%
375-400mm
$239 ปริมาณ
4%
400-450mm
$235 ปริมาณ
4%
450-500mm
$260 ปริมาณ
1%
500-550mm
$241 ปริมาณ
2%
550mm+
$258 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**HKO’s September 2026 outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño event, assigns a slightly elevated chance of normal-to-below-normal rainfall (historical mean ~321 mm).** Early-month observations show limited accumulation under a strengthening northeast monsoon, with most daily totals under 30 mm and several dry days through 9 September. Model guidance favors high-pressure dominance in the second half of the month, limiting organized tropical moisture and typhoon tracks near the South China Sea. Traders therefore price the sub-275 mm bin at 73.5 % while assigning minimal weight to bins above 350 mm. Key upcoming catalysts include revised HKO 10-day forecasts and any South China Sea low-pressure development that could alter steering patterns or rainfall efficiency before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,749วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**HKO’s September 2026 outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño event, assigns a slightly elevated chance of normal-to-below-normal rainfall (historical mean ~321 mm).** Early-month observations show limited accumulation under a strengthening northeast monsoon, with most daily totals under 30 mm and several dry days through 9 September. Model guidance favors high-pressure dominance in the second half of the month, limiting organized tropical moisture and typhoon tracks near the South China Sea. Traders therefore price the sub-275 mm bin at 73.5 % while assigning minimal weight to bins above 350 mm. Key upcoming catalysts include revised HKO 10-day forecasts and any South China Sea low-pressure development that could alter steering patterns or rainfall efficiency before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,749วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**HKO’s September 2026 outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño event, assigns a slightly elevated chance of normal-to-below-normal rainfall (historical mean ~321 mm).** Early-month observations show limited accumulation under a strengthening northeast monsoon, with most daily totals under 30 mm and several dry days through 9 September. Model guidance favors high-pressure dominance in the second half of the month, limiting organized tropical moisture and typhoon tracks near the South China Sea. Traders therefore price the sub-275 mm bin at 73.5 % while assigning minimal weight to bins above 350 mm. Key upcoming catalysts include revised HKO 10-day forecasts and any South China Sea low-pressure development that could alter steering patterns or rainfall efficiency before month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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