Recent dry conditions following the UK's record-hot summer of 2026, marked by prolonged high pressure and below-average rainfall, have tilted trader sentiment toward drier outcomes for London precipitation, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 27.0% and 26.5% implied probability. The long-term September average near 50 mm reflects typical Atlantic frontal influences, yet lingering anticyclonic patterns and soil moisture deficits can suppress convective rainfall early in the month. Model divergence on the timing of seasonal transition to westerly flows keeps probabilities spread across 30-60 mm bins, with potential for late-month increases if low-pressure systems strengthen.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in London in September?
Precipitation in London in September?
<30mm 26%
30-40mm 26%
60-70mm 18%
50-60mm 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
<30mm
26%
30-40mm
26%
40-50mm
13%
50-60mm
16%
60-70mm
18%
70-80mm
<1%
80mm+
4%
<30mm 26%
30-40mm 26%
60-70mm 18%
50-60mm 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
<30mm
$3,425 ปริมาณ
26%
30-40mm
$438 ปริมาณ
26%
40-50mm
$368 ปริมาณ
13%
50-60mm
$317 ปริมาณ
16%
60-70mm
$280 ปริมาณ
18%
70-80mm
$139 ปริมาณ
<1%
80mm+
$144 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent dry conditions following the UK's record-hot summer of 2026, marked by prolonged high pressure and below-average rainfall, have tilted trader sentiment toward drier outcomes for London precipitation, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 27.0% and 26.5% implied probability. The long-term September average near 50 mm reflects typical Atlantic frontal influences, yet lingering anticyclonic patterns and soil moisture deficits can suppress convective rainfall early in the month. Model divergence on the timing of seasonal transition to westerly flows keeps probabilities spread across 30-60 mm bins, with potential for late-month increases if low-pressure systems strengthen.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,111วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent dry conditions following the UK's record-hot summer of 2026, marked by prolonged high pressure and below-average rainfall, have tilted trader sentiment toward drier outcomes for London precipitation, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 27.0% and 26.5% implied probability. The long-term September average near 50 mm reflects typical Atlantic frontal influences, yet lingering anticyclonic patterns and soil moisture deficits can suppress convective rainfall early in the month. Model divergence on the timing of seasonal transition to westerly flows keeps probabilities spread across 30-60 mm bins, with potential for late-month increases if low-pressure systems strengthen.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,111วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent dry conditions following the UK's record-hot summer of 2026, marked by prolonged high pressure and below-average rainfall, have tilted trader sentiment toward drier outcomes for London precipitation, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 27.0% and 26.5% implied probability. The long-term September average near 50 mm reflects typical Atlantic frontal influences, yet lingering anticyclonic patterns and soil moisture deficits can suppress convective rainfall early in the month. Model divergence on the timing of seasonal transition to westerly flows keeps probabilities spread across 30-60 mm bins, with potential for late-month increases if low-pressure systems strengthen.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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