Recent warnings from AI researchers about catastrophic risks have spurred bipartisan Senate negotiations on legislation imposing a legal duty of care for frontier model developers, including potential government authority to block unsafe releases, yet talks led by Senators Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz remain stalled over liability standards and state preemption as of mid-September 2026. House Speaker Johnson has called for stakeholder meetings on guardrails without committing to expedited action before the November midterms, while multiple narrower AI measures advanced through committee earlier this year but have not reached enactment. With roughly three months remaining until 2027 and entrenched procedural and partisan obstacles typical of comprehensive tech regulation, traders assign an 81.5% probability that no qualifying AI safety bill will become law in time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
19% โอกาส
$103,248 ปริมาณ
$103,248 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
19% โอกาส
$103,248 ปริมาณ
$103,248 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent warnings from AI researchers about catastrophic risks have spurred bipartisan Senate negotiations on legislation imposing a legal duty of care for frontier model developers, including potential government authority to block unsafe releases, yet talks led by Senators Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz remain stalled over liability standards and state preemption as of mid-September 2026. House Speaker Johnson has called for stakeholder meetings on guardrails without committing to expedited action before the November midterms, while multiple narrower AI measures advanced through committee earlier this year but have not reached enactment. With roughly three months remaining until 2027 and entrenched procedural and partisan obstacles typical of comprehensive tech regulation, traders assign an 81.5% probability that no qualifying AI safety bill will become law in time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,248วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent warnings from AI researchers about catastrophic risks have spurred bipartisan Senate negotiations on legislation imposing a legal duty of care for frontier model developers, including potential government authority to block unsafe releases, yet talks led by Senators Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz remain stalled over liability standards and state preemption as of mid-September 2026. House Speaker Johnson has called for stakeholder meetings on guardrails without committing to expedited action before the November midterms, while multiple narrower AI measures advanced through committee earlier this year but have not reached enactment. With roughly three months remaining until 2027 and entrenched procedural and partisan obstacles typical of comprehensive tech regulation, traders assign an 81.5% probability that no qualifying AI safety bill will become law in time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,248วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent warnings from AI researchers about catastrophic risks have spurred bipartisan Senate negotiations on legislation imposing a legal duty of care for frontier model developers, including potential government authority to block unsafe releases, yet talks led by Senators Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz remain stalled over liability standards and state preemption as of mid-September 2026. House Speaker Johnson has called for stakeholder meetings on guardrails without committing to expedited action before the November midterms, while multiple narrower AI measures advanced through committee earlier this year but have not reached enactment. With roughly three months remaining until 2027 and entrenched procedural and partisan obstacles typical of comprehensive tech regulation, traders assign an 81.5% probability that no qualifying AI safety bill will become law in time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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