**Rising oil prices near $87 per barrel and base effects from last year’s energy spike are positioning the August 2026 PPI YoY at 5.1% or higher as the leading outcome with 65.5% implied probability.** July’s cooler 4.7% YoY print, driven by a 3.1% drop in energy goods and flat overall final demand, lowered near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC, but traders now expect a rebound as higher crude costs feed into producer prices. Consensus forecasts center on a 5.2–5.3% YoY rise and 0.4% MoM increase, reflecting persistent services inflation alongside the energy turnaround. The market’s skin-in-the-game pricing reflects uncertainty over whether upstream relief will persist or reverse, with lower outcomes like 4.9% or below holding single-digit probabilities amid these dynamics. The data releases today at 8:30 a.m. ET.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPPI YoY - August 2026
5.1%+ 71%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 5.3%
4.6% 4.5%
$20,187 ปริมาณ
$20,187 ปริมาณ
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
71%
5.1%+ 71%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 5.3%
4.6% 4.5%
$20,187 ปริมาณ
$20,187 ปริมาณ
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
71%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Rising oil prices near $87 per barrel and base effects from last year’s energy spike are positioning the August 2026 PPI YoY at 5.1% or higher as the leading outcome with 65.5% implied probability.** July’s cooler 4.7% YoY print, driven by a 3.1% drop in energy goods and flat overall final demand, lowered near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC, but traders now expect a rebound as higher crude costs feed into producer prices. Consensus forecasts center on a 5.2–5.3% YoY rise and 0.4% MoM increase, reflecting persistent services inflation alongside the energy turnaround. The market’s skin-in-the-game pricing reflects uncertainty over whether upstream relief will persist or reverse, with lower outcomes like 4.9% or below holding single-digit probabilities amid these dynamics. The data releases today at 8:30 a.m. ET.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย