Recent UNEP assessments confirming that the 1.5°C threshold will be exceeded in the coming years, combined with persistent global CO2 emission rates near 42 Gt annually and a remaining carbon budget of roughly 130 GtCO2, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring no change in the Climate Clock deadline by year-end. Observational data show human-induced warming at approximately 1.37°C through 2025, with linear extrapolations from multiple datasets projecting a breach around 2028–2030 absent sharp near-term reductions. Market-implied odds reflect this evidence-based stability in carbon budget calculations, which update on annual or multi-year cycles. A major downward revision in emissions or an unexpected expansion of the budget estimate could still shift the displayed timeline before December 31, though current trends and policy inertia make such developments improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
10% โอกาส
$13,934 ปริมาณ
$13,934 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
10% โอกาส
$13,934 ปริมาณ
$13,934 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent UNEP assessments confirming that the 1.5°C threshold will be exceeded in the coming years, combined with persistent global CO2 emission rates near 42 Gt annually and a remaining carbon budget of roughly 130 GtCO2, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring no change in the Climate Clock deadline by year-end. Observational data show human-induced warming at approximately 1.37°C through 2025, with linear extrapolations from multiple datasets projecting a breach around 2028–2030 absent sharp near-term reductions. Market-implied odds reflect this evidence-based stability in carbon budget calculations, which update on annual or multi-year cycles. A major downward revision in emissions or an unexpected expansion of the budget estimate could still shift the displayed timeline before December 31, though current trends and policy inertia make such developments improbable.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,934วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://climateclock.worldผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent UNEP assessments confirming that the 1.5°C threshold will be exceeded in the coming years, combined with persistent global CO2 emission rates near 42 Gt annually and a remaining carbon budget of roughly 130 GtCO2, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring no change in the Climate Clock deadline by year-end. Observational data show human-induced warming at approximately 1.37°C through 2025, with linear extrapolations from multiple datasets projecting a breach around 2028–2030 absent sharp near-term reductions. Market-implied odds reflect this evidence-based stability in carbon budget calculations, which update on annual or multi-year cycles. A major downward revision in emissions or an unexpected expansion of the budget estimate could still shift the displayed timeline before December 31, though current trends and policy inertia make such developments improbable.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,934วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://climateclock.worldผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent UNEP assessments confirming that the 1.5°C threshold will be exceeded in the coming years, combined with persistent global CO2 emission rates near 42 Gt annually and a remaining carbon budget of roughly 130 GtCO2, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring no change in the Climate Clock deadline by year-end. Observational data show human-induced warming at approximately 1.37°C through 2025, with linear extrapolations from multiple datasets projecting a breach around 2028–2030 absent sharp near-term reductions. Market-implied odds reflect this evidence-based stability in carbon budget calculations, which update on annual or multi-year cycles. A major downward revision in emissions or an unexpected expansion of the budget estimate could still shift the displayed timeline before December 31, though current trends and policy inertia make such developments improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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