Northeast monsoon flow combined with a developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is the main driver behind current market-implied odds for Hong Kong's September 12 maximum temperature. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasts a range of 25–30 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible later, moderating daytime heating relative to the recent 31–32 °C readings. Stronger east-to-northeast winds, occasionally reaching force 6 offshore, will enhance mixing and limit peak values. Historical mid-September normals show mean maxima near 30.8 °C, but the shift to more unsettled conditions introduces genuine forecast spread across ensemble guidance. Traders are weighting the 27–30 °C band most heavily because shower timing and intensity remain the key unresolved variables ahead of the next model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
31°C 22%
27°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
21%
28°C
25%
29°C
21%
30°C
24%
31°C
22%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
31°C 22%
27°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with a developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is the main driver behind current market-implied odds for Hong Kong's September 12 maximum temperature. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasts a range of 25–30 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible later, moderating daytime heating relative to the recent 31–32 °C readings. Stronger east-to-northeast winds, occasionally reaching force 6 offshore, will enhance mixing and limit peak values. Historical mid-September normals show mean maxima near 30.8 °C, but the shift to more unsettled conditions introduces genuine forecast spread across ensemble guidance. Traders are weighting the 27–30 °C band most heavily because shower timing and intensity remain the key unresolved variables ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with a developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is the main driver behind current market-implied odds for Hong Kong's September 12 maximum temperature. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasts a range of 25–30 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible later, moderating daytime heating relative to the recent 31–32 °C readings. Stronger east-to-northeast winds, occasionally reaching force 6 offshore, will enhance mixing and limit peak values. Historical mid-September normals show mean maxima near 30.8 °C, but the shift to more unsettled conditions introduces genuine forecast spread across ensemble guidance. Traders are weighting the 27–30 °C band most heavily because shower timing and intensity remain the key unresolved variables ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow combined with a developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is the main driver behind current market-implied odds for Hong Kong's September 12 maximum temperature. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasts a range of 25–30 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible later, moderating daytime heating relative to the recent 31–32 °C readings. Stronger east-to-northeast winds, occasionally reaching force 6 offshore, will enhance mixing and limit peak values. Historical mid-September normals show mean maxima near 30.8 °C, but the shift to more unsettled conditions introduces genuine forecast spread across ensemble guidance. Traders are weighting the 27–30 °C band most heavily because shower timing and intensity remain the key unresolved variables ahead of the next model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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