Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his established record since 2023, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’s roughly $227,000. Nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican throughout the cycle, reflecting limited competitive pressure after Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in recent months. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant national political realignment, unexpected legal or personal issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this Southern Tier and Western New York district ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
$24,471 ปริมาณ
$24,471 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
9%
$24,471 ปริมาณ
$24,471 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$11,093 ปริมาณ
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
$13,378 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his established record since 2023, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’s roughly $227,000. Nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican throughout the cycle, reflecting limited competitive pressure after Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in recent months. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant national political realignment, unexpected legal or personal issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this Southern Tier and Western New York district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,471วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his established record since 2023, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’s roughly $227,000. Nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican throughout the cycle, reflecting limited competitive pressure after Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in recent months. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant national political realignment, unexpected legal or personal issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this Southern Tier and Western New York district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,471วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his established record since 2023, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’s roughly $227,000. Nonpartisan forecasters have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican throughout the cycle, reflecting limited competitive pressure after Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in recent months. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant national political realignment, unexpected legal or personal issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this Southern Tier and Western New York district ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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