Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$53,943 ปริมาณ
$53,943 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
1%
$53,943 ปริมาณ
$53,943 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
$22,752 ปริมาณ
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
$31,190 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,943วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,943วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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