**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C overnight low for Hong Kong on September 21, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under weak northeast winds, high humidity (65–95%), and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, as cloud cover and elevated dew points near 24–25°C prevent temperatures from dropping further, aligning with late-September climatology where urban heat effects and light steering flows typically keep minima in the mid-to-upper 20s. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with no approaching cold fronts or typhoons to enhance cooling. The slight probabilities for 26°C or 28°C reflect residual uncertainty in shower timing and local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability. The market will resolve on official HKO observations the following morning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
27°C 63%
26°C 13%
28°C 8%
25°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
63%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 63%
26°C 13%
28°C 8%
25°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$37 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$220 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$407 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$803 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$2,289 ปริมาณ
63%
28°C
$2,622 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$30 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$284 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$280 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$4 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C overnight low for Hong Kong on September 21, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under weak northeast winds, high humidity (65–95%), and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or thunderstorms.**
These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, as cloud cover and elevated dew points near 24–25°C prevent temperatures from dropping further, aligning with late-September climatology where urban heat effects and light steering flows typically keep minima in the mid-to-upper 20s. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with no approaching cold fronts or typhoons to enhance cooling. The slight probabilities for 26°C or 28°C reflect residual uncertainty in shower timing and local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability. The market will resolve on official HKO observations the following morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,357วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C overnight low for Hong Kong on September 21, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under weak northeast winds, high humidity (65–95%), and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or thunderstorms.**
These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, as cloud cover and elevated dew points near 24–25°C prevent temperatures from dropping further, aligning with late-September climatology where urban heat effects and light steering flows typically keep minima in the mid-to-upper 20s. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with no approaching cold fronts or typhoons to enhance cooling. The slight probabilities for 26°C or 28°C reflect residual uncertainty in shower timing and local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability. The market will resolve on official HKO observations the following morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,357วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C overnight low for Hong Kong on September 21, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under weak northeast winds, high humidity (65–95%), and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, as cloud cover and elevated dew points near 24–25°C prevent temperatures from dropping further, aligning with late-September climatology where urban heat effects and light steering flows typically keep minima in the mid-to-upper 20s. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with no approaching cold fronts or typhoons to enhance cooling. The slight probabilities for 26°C or 28°C reflect residual uncertainty in shower timing and local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability. The market will resolve on official HKO observations the following morning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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